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Viewing 601 - 856 of 856 results

  1. Forecast review: Ethiopia

    14 September 2018 Lindsay Newman, Ph.D.

    Correct forecast on Ethiopia leadership challenge.

  2. Brazilian election update

    13 September 2018 Carlos Caicedo

    Support for Brazil's far-right candidate increases slightly after stabbing; presidential run-off likely to involve two anti-establishment candidates....

    • Political Risk
  3. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Trade war escalation threats weigh on commodities

    13 September 2018 William May

    Threat of a further slew of tariffs on Chinese imports, weighs on MPI

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  4. Update on Afghan peace talks

    12 September 2018 Asad Ali

    Further Taliban assaults on Afghan provincial cities likely but momentum towards peace talks also set to increase.

    • Terrorism
  5. Argentinian austerity plan

    12 September 2018 Carlos Caicedo Carla Selman

    Argentina deepens austerity to secure IMF support and stabilize peso; doubts of government leadership undermine business confidence.

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  6. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices shrug off currency and tariff woes to push higher

    06 September 2018 William May

    For a second consecutive week, oil drives gains in an otherwise directionless week

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  7. Swedish general election

    06 September 2018 Dijedon Imeri

    Swedish general election to produce weak minority government, complicating policy-making and posing risk of currency sell-off.

    • Political Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  8. Polish judicial reforms

    05 September 2018 Blanka Kolenikova

    Local elections, public protests to determine future of Poland's judicial reforms; improved court efficiency is unlikely.

    • Political Risk
  9. Impact of new Australian PM on 2019 election

    31 August 2018 Alex Barnes

    New Australian PM likely to lower energy prices; government disunity increases likelihood of opposition victory in 2019.

    • Political Risk
  10. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Markets seize on positive sentiment

    30 August 2018 William May

    Oil leads a broad-based jump in the MPI in a positive week for commodities

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  11. New trade deal for US-Mexico

    30 August 2018 John Raines Carlos Cardenas

    New trade agreement to redefine Mexico-US relationship; Canada faces retaliatory tariffs if it refuses to join.

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  12. Indonesian presidential race outlook

    29 August 2018 Deepa Kumar

    Presidential election nominees indicate Indonesia likely to encourage conservative Islamist policies; pro-foreign investment outlook unlikely...

    • Political Risk
  13. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for July

    28 August 2018 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.4% in July.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  14. Argentina: On the ground country risk assessment

    27 August 2018 Carla Selman Brian Lawson

    A from-the field webcast looking at Argentina's political and economic trajectory

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  15. Israel-Hamas ceasefire

    23 August 2018 Jack A. Kennedy

    Israel ceasefire with Hamas reduces likelihood of war, but a lasting peace settlement for Gaza is unlikely.

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  16. South Africa expropriation risk

    23 August 2018 Thea Fourie Joyce Silungwe

    Threat of expropriation arising from South Africa's land reform legislation likely to deter investment.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  17. Weekly Pricing Pulse: The bearish backdrop proves too much for commodity prices

    23 August 2018 William May

    MPI falls as the global economy is checked by an overload of uncertainty.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  18. Reimposition of Iran sanctions

    22 August 2018 Firas Modad

    Iran likely to turn to Russia, Turkey, and China to offset sanctions, not risk war over Hormuz.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  19. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices increase, but with little conviction

    16 August 2018 William May

    Major components produce minor gains but MPI still directionless.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  20. Canadian FTAs help boost trade

    15 August 2018 Chul Woo Hong

    Amid increasing trade tension with the United States, free-trade agreements with the EU and South Korea have expanded Canadian trade.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  21. Regulatory changes will shape Latvian banking sector

    13 August 2018 Camille Chavrier

    Latvian banking sector likely will undergo significant financial, structural, and regulatory changes in the near-to-medium term.

    • Economic Risk
  22. Weekly Pricing Pulse: MPI moves sideways against a backdrop of uncertain demand

    13 August 2018 William May

    Freight, ferrous and rubber prop up MPI in a stagnant commodity market

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  23. The future of Italian reforms

    03 August 2018 Raj Badiani Dijedon Imeri

    The reform process in Italy is likely to remain slow, and will be further delayed by recent political events.

    • Political Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  24. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Chemical and oil price volatility reverses recent losses

    02 August 2018 William May

    Despite macro data pointing to softer pricing, the MPI jumps w/w.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  25. South Sudan peace deal prospects

    02 August 2018 Verner Ayukegba

    South Sudan's prolonged negotiations highlight unlikelihood of comprehensive peace deal, but oil production agreement likely.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  26. Saudi Arabian GDP growth to increase

    01 August 2018 Bryan Plamondon

    The economy emerged from recession in Q1 and is expected to further strengthen

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  27. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for June

    27 July 2018 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP declined 0.2% in June.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  28. Cuban hotel sector expansion

    27 July 2018 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    Cuba to expand hotel capacity in partnership with French and Spanish investors despite tightening US restrictions

    • Economic Risk
  29. Forecast review: Yemen

    26 July 2018 Lindsay Newman, Ph.D.

    Correct forecast on Yemen civil conflict escalation.

    • Economic Risk
  30. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil and lumber drive a broad retreat in commodity prices

    26 July 2018 Cole Hassay

    Recent data from China and the Eurozone and currency weakness vs. USD has negatively impacted the MPI.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  31. Back-to-school retail sales outlook

    26 July 2018 James Bohnaker

    The back-to-school retail shopping season is looking a touch better than last year, earning an expected grade of B+.

    • Automotive Retail Trends/Transformation
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  32. Wage pressures remain weak across Western Europe

    25 July 2018 Yacine Rouimi Sharon Fisher

    Western European wages and productivity growth has lagged that in Emerging Europe. Is the Phillips curve still valid?

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  33. Algerian presidential elections

    25 July 2018 Jihane Boudiaf

    Mixed signals on incumbent’s candidacy in Algeria’s 2019 presidential election indicate government attempt to mitigate unrest risk.

    • Political Risk
  34. China-US trade update

    24 July 2018 David Li

    Business environment to further deteriorate for US companies in China as White House announces additional tariffs

    • Economic Risk
  35. Indian banking-sector developments likely to strengthen troubled state banks

    23 July 2018 Deepa Kumar Angus Lam

    Recent banking-sector developments will strengthen and consolidate troubled state banks and allow increased foreign investment

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  36. Why the Eurozone super core inflation rate matters

    23 July 2018 Ken Wattret

    The European Central Bank monitors “super core” inflation alongside other metrics to determine the appropriate monetary policy stance.

    • Financial Risk Analytics
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  37. Signs of storms ahead for the Irish economy

    20 July 2018

    Despite a broadly as expected first quarter, the GNP and modified GNI indicators point to a deterioration in the domestic economy.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  38. Brazilian presidential race

    20 July 2018 Carlos Caicedo

    Brazil's presidential race remains wide open, outsiders likely to capitalize on unpopularity of divided pro-business center-right groups.

    • Political Risk
  39. Sierra Leone contract cancellation risk

    19 July 2018 Chris Suckling

    Anti-corruption investigations targeting Sierra Leone's former government threaten cancellation of construction, energy contracts alongside legislative...

    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  40. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices post another narrow gain

    19 July 2018 Cole Hassay

    Trade tensions and a stronger US dollar weigh on non-ferrous, oil and bulks, but chemicals lift MPI

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  41. Syria-Israel interstate war risks

    18 July 2018 Columb Strack

    Syrian government advance towards border with occupied Golan risks provoking major Israeli military response.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  42. Sweden moves closer to first interest rate rise in a decade

    16 July 2018

    Despite the expected vote to maintain rates, there is growing evidence that Sweden will raise rates

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  43. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Another narrow rise for commodity prices

    13 July 2018 Cole Hassay

    Rallying oil prices lifted the commodity complex for the second consecutive week.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  44. India-China trade barrier reductions

    13 July 2018 Deepa Kumar David Li

    Reduced India-China tariffs will expand market for Indian pharmaceuticals and broaden Indian start-ups' access to venture capital.

    • Economic Risk
  45. Ecuador private-sector incentives

    13 July 2018 Arthur Dhont

    Tax incentives and planned reinstatement of investment treaties likely to improve Ecuador's business environment.

    • Economic Risk
  46. E-commerce retail sales tax

    12 July 2018 James Bohnaker

    The impact of the Supreme Court's ruling on e-commerce retail sales tax

    • Income Distribution
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Consumer Spending
  47. Libyan conflict update

    12 July 2018 Ludovico Carlino

    LNA’s bid to control Libyan national institutions increases risk of renewed fighting between western and eastern militias.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  48. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Rallying oil prices halt the commodity price retreat

    09 July 2018 Cole Hassay

    Strength in oil markets checked a two-week long retreat in commodity markets.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  49. Political Outlook for Cambodia

    05 July 2018

    Cambodia’s ruling party tightens grip on power.

    • Political Risk
  50. Impeachment of the Kenyan Deputy President

    03 July 2018 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Probable forced removal of Kenya's deputy president indicated by anti-corruption investigation beginning in July, increasing legislative disruption....

    • Political Risk
  51. Sahel terrorism risk assessment

    29 June 2018 Jihane Boudiaf

    Umbrella jihadist group likely to exploit expanded reach across Sahel to attack security installations more frequently.

    • Terrorism
  52. Prospects for peace talks in Afghanistan

    29 June 2018 Asad Ali

    Taliban factionalism renders meaningful negotiations unlikely despite Eid ceasefire in Afghanistan; conflict likely to continue unabated.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  53. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices retreat as the outlook becomes cloudier

    28 June 2018 Cole Hassay

    Last week provided further evidence for our range-bound outlook.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  54. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for May

    27 June 2018 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.5% in May.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  55. Eurozone budget proposal

    27 June 2018 Kit Nicholl Jan Gerhard

    French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel met on 19 June to discuss EU reform ahead of the 28–29 June European Council...

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  56. Global and domestic market woes hit South African rand

    22 June 2018 Thea Fourie

    South Africa has witnessed the biggest sell-off of local bonds by foreign investors on record.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  57. One step forward, two steps back for Polish pension reform

    22 June 2018 Sharon Fisher

    Poland’s 2017 retirement age reduction will damage public finances, raise the risk of poverty, and hurt an already tight labor market.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  58. Colombian presidential election

    22 June 2018 Arthur Dhont

    Multi-party coalition likely to support Colombian president-elect, supporting fiscal reform but tempering hostility to FARC peace accord.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  59. Egyptian cabinet reshuffle

    21 June 2018 Jack A. Kennedy

    Egyptian cabinet reshuffle reduces coup risks for president, focuses economic policy on subsidy reduction and privatization.

    • Political Risk
  60. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices pull back

    21 June 2018 Cole Hassay

    We have been seeing signs that the commodity price rally was running out of steam; last week, the MPI confirmed this as commodity prices pulled...

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  61. Poland constitutional consultative referendum

    20 June 2018 Blanka Kolenikova

    Public consultation, domestic pressure to mitigate disagreements with EU over Poland's proposed constitutional review.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  62. Economic collapse in Syria revealed

    19 June 2018 Francisco Tang Bustillos

     After a six-year delay, Syria released national account data showing that the economy contracted by more than 50% in 2012-2016.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  63. Banking sector developments in Bangladesh

    18 June 2018 Angus Lam

    Fast credit growth and loan restructuring raise credit risk in Bangladesh

    • Operational Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  64. The future of the president of Burundi

    18 June 2018 Jordan Anderson

    Burundian president likely to stand for re-election despite "pledge to step down", increasing coup risks beyond 2018.

    • Political Risk
  65. Argentina judicial reforms

    15 June 2018 Carla Selman

    Argentina's government introducing reforms to improve judiciary's independence, but major advances unlikely over coming year.

    • Legal Risk
    • Taxation Risk
    • Political Risk
  66. Upcoming Zimbabwean elections

    15 June 2018 Theo Acheampong, PhD

    Zimbabwean president's victory in July election likely to see implementation of economic transformation agenda despite opposition protests.

    • Political Risk
  67. Turkish central bank actions may have come too late

    14 June 2018 Andrew Birch

    To rescue the lira and rebuild confidence in monetary policy, the Turkish central bank has taken several aggressive actions.

    • Operational Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  68. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices continue to rise, but narrowly

    14 June 2018 Cole Hassay

    Signs are emerging that the commodity price rally is running out of steam.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  69. Possibility of prolonged fractured governance in Spain raises growth risks

    13 June 2018 Raj Badiani Laurence Allan, Ph.D.

    The change in government poses little threat to 2018 growth, but political and economic headwinds could erode the 2019 outlook.

    • Political Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  70. Risk of hooliganism at the 2018 FIFA World Cup

    13 June 2018 Petya Barzilska

    Drivers of potential fan violence at the Russia games include past animosities and political influences

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  71. Canadian pipeline purchase

    08 June 2018

    Canadian government's purchase of pipeline project to polarize electorate, increasing odds of government change at 2019 election.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  72. Kenyan corporate tax increase

    08 June 2018 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Probable corporate tax increases after 30 June and anti-corruption probe indicate Kenya's renewed commitment to fiscal consolidation.

    • Taxation Risk
    • Legal Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  73. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Strength in chemical markets mask softness in the commodity complex

    07 June 2018 Cole Hassay

    Commodities rise again as chemicals continue to drive the index upward.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  74. Tanzanian contract review and renewables development

    07 June 2018 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Energy budget discussions indicate Tanzania will renegotiate gas-to-electricity off-take agreements and prioritize renewables development.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  75. Iran-China relations

    04 June 2018 Nazanin Soroush Meda Al Rowas David Li

    Iran likely to increasingly rely on China as major trading partner to withstand strengthening US sanctions.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  76. Brazil regulatory agencies

    04 June 2018 Carlos Caicedo

    Bargaining for control of Brazil's regulatory agencies before incumbent government's term ends likely to undermine operating environment.

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  77. Russian National Projects investment program

    01 June 2018 Lilit Gevorgyan, B.A., M.A., M.Sc. Alex Kokcharov

    Russia likely to favor domestic contractors to implement its "National Projects" investment program to 2024.

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  78. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Chemical prices surge, pushing the MPI high

    31 May 2018 Cole Hassay

    The commodity complex continues to show strength, but prices may be approaching a peak.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  79. South African land redistribution

    31 May 2018 Martin Roberts

    Provincial leadership battles and changing approach on land redistribution make early South African general election unlikely.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  80. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for April

    30 May 2018 Kathleen Navin Ben Herzon

    Monthly GDP Index rises 0.3% in April 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  81. Venezuela election result

    25 May 2018 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    US sanctions on Venezuela highly likely following fraud allegations in presidential election.

    • Political Risk
  82. Petrochemical Cluster: A bright future for the Tri-state region

    25 May 2018 Rajeevee Panditharatna Ron Whitfield

    Major new petrochemical supplier and plastics manufacturing plants coming to the Appalachian region – how many more will follow?

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  83. Malaysian coalition stability

    24 May 2018 Deepa Kumar

    Malaysian coalition stability likely until by-election for premiership; GST repeal signals government intent to uphold election promises.

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  84. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil prices support the commodity complex

    23 May 2018 Cole Hassay

    Stronger crude oil prices are starting to move downstream.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  85. Catalan elections

    23 May 2018 Laurence Allan, Ph.D.

    Election of Catalan president likely to lead to partial stability, but conflict will remain unresolved.

    • Political Risk
  86. Room remains for additional monetary policy tightening in the Philippines

    23 May 2018 Ling-Wei Chung

    Mounting inflationary pressure and strong economic momentum create room for further interest rate hikes following the May increase.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  87. Weak start to 2018 for South Africa

    21 May 2018 Thea Fourie

    South Africa’s cyclical rebound during 2018 is expected to be soft. S&P Global expects growth of 1.5% for the year.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  88. Eurozone slowdown: What’s going on

    21 May 2018 Ken Wattret

    2017’s positive surprises have been followed by disappointments early this year. Transitory factors have contributed but are not solely to blame....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  89. Nigerian election update

    18 May 2018 Martin Roberts

    Nigerian president clear favorite to win second term in 2019, extending emphasis on rail infrastructure and agriculture.

    • Political Risk
  90. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Geopolitical turbulence drives up crude oil prices

    17 May 2018 Cole Hassay

    Geopolitical tumult boosted commodity prices again last week.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  91. European Defense Relations

    17 May 2018 Petya Barzilska Dijedon Imeri Alex Kokcharov

    Defense agreement to deepen military ties between Sweden, Finland, US, but NATO membership remains unlikely.

    • Political Risk
  92. Go-slow exit for ECB

    16 May 2018 Ken Wattret

    The normalization of monetary policy in the Eurozone is likely to be a very protracted process.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  93. Upgrade of Nigerian sovereign risk rating

    16 May 2018 Ama Egyaba Baidu Forson

    Nigeria's sovereign risk rating revised outlook to Stable on external balances and improved liquidity profile

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  94. NAFTA renegotiations

    16 May 2018 John Raines Carlos Cardenas

    NAFTA renegotiation deadline set for 17 May, but ratification to face hurdles due to Mexico-US elections.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  95. The economic footprint of Tesla in California

    15 May 2018 Leslie Levesque

    An economic impact assessment of Tesla’s operations in California

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  96. Romanian base interest rate rises as inflation accelerates

    11 May 2018 Vaiva Seckute

    The central bank raised its main policy rate for the third time this year in an attempt to weaken price growth.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  97. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices rally on strength in lumber and iron ore markets

    11 May 2018 Cole Hassay

    The MPI increased for the third time in four weeks.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  98. Ethiopia regional ports initiative

    11 May 2018 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Ethiopia's participation in neighboring ports likely to increase trade efficiencies and influence China's Belt and Road Initiative.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  99. Venezuela presidential election

    10 May 2018 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    Venezuelan president highly likely to be re-elected despite international opposition and increasing likelihood of oil sanctions.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  100. The Argentine peso remains vulnerable

    09 May 2018 Paula Diosquez-Rice

    The Argentine peso remains highly vulnerable despite aggressive Central Bank intervention.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  101. Islamic State electoral disruption

    08 May 2018 Ludovico Carlino

    Islamic State’s intent to disrupt elections in Iraq, Libya, and Tunisia will indicate group’s enduring capabilities.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  102. South Africa on back foot as Namibia and Angola seek more investment

    04 May 2018 Thea Fourie

    Favorable regulatory reforms in Angola and Namibia overshadow populist policies in South Africa.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  103. Protest risk for Nicaragua

    04 May 2018

    Nicaraguan government instability risks highlighted by anti-government protests unlikely to be mitigated by upcoming protest resolution talks....

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  104. China-India bilateral relations

    03 May 2018 Deepa Kumar David Li

    Bilateral meetings indicate military de-escalation despite continued political distrust, increased Chinese private-sector investment in India...

    • Political Risk
  105. Weekly Pricing Pulse: A pause in the MPI while the specter of geopolitical risk remains

    02 May 2018 Cole Hassay

    Turbulence reigned in commodity markets last week despite relative stability in the MPI.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  106. US sanctions on Iran

    02 May 2018 Nazanin Soroush

    US sanctions on Iran’s strategic sectors increasingly likely in one-year outlook, aimed at internal destabilization.

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  107. Latin American lithium promotion

    27 April 2018 Carla Selman

    Argentina, Bolivia, and Chile to promote investment in lithium, but legal challenges likely to delay projects.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  108. Sweden maintains policy rate at April meeting

    27 April 2018

    Despite an ‘as expected’ policy rate decision, markets reacted strongly to this week’s meeting of the Riksbank executive committee.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  109. India militancy update

    27 April 2018 Deepa Kumar

    Indigenization of militancy likely to escalate unrest in India's Kashmir, particularly ahead of upcoming national, state elections.

    • Political Risk
  110. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for March

    26 April 2018 Kathleen Navin Ben Herzon

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.5% in March.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  111. Turkey presidential election

    26 April 2018 Ege Seckin

    Outcome of Turkey’s presidential election depends largely on ability of discordant opposition parties to present unified candidate.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  112. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Political price premiums drive another rise in the MPI

    26 April 2018 Cole Hassay

    Geopolitics continue to rattle commodity markets.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  113. Lower labor taxes and changes to pension system in Lithuania

    25 April 2018 Vaiva Seckute

    Lithuania will ease the tax burden on labor and redesign the pension system, which should encourage private participation.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Taxation Risk
    • Legal Risk
    • Economic Risk
  114. A Greek clean bailout exit is likely but not certain

    23 April 2018 Diego Iscaro

    It is likely Greece will exit its current program but there are several factors that could derail a "clean" exit.

    • Political Risk
    • Legal Risk
    • Taxation Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  115. Leadership transition in Cuba

    23 April 2018 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    Díaz-Canel taking the reins signals continuity and gradual economic reform but not democratic opening.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  116. Cyber security law in Thailand

    20 April 2018 David Li

    Thailand's National Reform Plans signals worsening operating environment for IT and social-media companies, election delays increase implementation...

    • Terrorism
    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  117. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Geopolitical risks push up commodity prices

    19 April 2018 Cole Hassay

    Commodity prices rallied last week as geopolitical concerns rattled markets

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  118. Looming bank fine poses a key test for Turkish economic resiliency

    19 April 2018 Andrew Birch Alyssa Grzelak

    The impact on the Turkish economy from US penalties for the financial sector’s role in skirting Iranian sanctions remains uncertain.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  119. Health of the LNA commander in question

    19 April 2018 Ludovico Carlino

    LNA commander’s incapacity through ill-health, if confirmed, would risk triggering new struggle for control of eastern Libya.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  120. New President for Sierra Leone

    18 April 2018 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Sierra Leone's new president will probably avoid policy paralysis and improve IMF relations, but faces budgetary challenges.

    • Political Risk
  121. Is Emerging Europe experiencing a housing bubble

    13 April 2018 Sharon Fisher

    Countries in the region are reporting rapid growth in housing loans and real estate prices, despite efforts to reign in lending.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  122. The trade wars to come: How to determine risk exposure from potential Section 301 tariff actions

    13 April 2018 Cole Hassay

    With a potential trade war between the United States and China looming, this article examines how to determine your supply chain's risk exposure....

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  123. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Trade developments and lackluster Chinese data weigh on commodity prices

    13 April 2018 Cole Hassay

    Softening demand from China put downward pressure on commodity prices last week.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  124. New Colombian administration

    12 April 2018 Arthur Dhont

    Next Colombian administration likely to implement targeted corporate tax reductions and reduce exceptions; fiscal stability compromise probable...

    • Political Risk
  125. New President for Botswana

    12 April 2018 Theo Acheampong, Ph.D.

    Botswana's appointment of new president likely to ensure policy continuity

    • Political Risk
  126. Brazilian privatizations

    11 April 2018 Carlos Caicedo

    Brazilian government progresses with privatization of state enterprises, but divestment likely to take years.

    • Economic Risk
  127. Small state-level impacts of potential China import tariffs – for now

    10 April 2018 Tom Jackson

    Widening of sanctions would cause pain to farmers and manufacturers.

  128. Weekly Pricing Pulse commodity prices slip again even as the global economy continues to expand

    05 April 2018 Cole Hassay

    Supply remains ample in commodity markets, while policy developments are creating uncertainty

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  129. Dutch municipal elections

    05 April 2018 Jan Gerhard

    Dutch municipal election result reflects highly fragmented political landscape nationwide, potentially slowing down policymaking at council level....

    • Political Risk
  130. 2018 Global Economic & Country Risk Strategy Summit

    04 April 2018 Maria Bertram

    Join us in London for a dive deep into critical topics and understand the implications for your business.

    • Political Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  131. South Africa land policy

    03 April 2018 Martin Roberts

    Invasions of unoccupied South African land likely to expand beyond Gauteng metropolitan districts as expropriation debate continues.

    • Political Risk
  132. Weekly Pricing Pulse uncertainty depresses commodity prices

    29 March 2018 Cole Hassay

    Policy developments contributed to market volatility last week

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  133. February Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit

    29 March 2018 Kathleen Navin Ben Herzon

    February rebound was seen across multiple components.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  134. Slovak cabinet line-up

    28 March 2018 Blanka Kolenikova

    Cabinet reshuffle likely to prevent early election in Slovakia in 2018; large, peaceful anti-government protests will continue.

    • Political Risk
  135. Sri Lanka PM Future

    27 March 2018 Asad Ali

    Sri Lankan PM likely to survive no-confidence motion but energy tariff and constitutional reform policies will stall.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  136. India no-confidence motion

    23 March 2018 Deepa Kumar

    No-confidence motion against Indian government increases likelihood of fractured parliament and slowdown in reforms

    • Political Risk
  137. A difficult year ahead for Pakistan

    23 March 2018 Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch

    The China Pakistan Economic Corridor success may be overshadowed by a brewing balance of payments crisis and upcoming elections.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  138. Venezuela foreign exchange controls

    22 March 2018 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    Tightening foreign-exchange controls likely to force widespread industrial closures within Venezuela in 2018.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Political Risk
  139. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Good oil and chemical supplies push down commodity prices

    22 March 2018 Cole Hassay

    Amply capacity is keeping a lid on commodity prices

  140. GDP growth surprises in South Africa

    20 March 2018 Thea Fourie

    Stronger fourth-quarter growth propelled the economy to expand 1.3% overall in 2017, as the country avoided recession last year.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  141. New Colombian legislature

    19 March 2018 Arthur Dhont

    New Colombian legislature likely to support market-friendly policies, support for FARC peace agreement finely balanced.

    • Political Risk
  142. New Chilean government

    16 March 2018 Carla Selman

    Chile's new government to promote mining, energy and infrastructure investment, fragmented Congress likely to delay pro-business regulation.

    • Political Risk
  143. Japanese land sale implications

    16 March 2018

    Prospects for Japanese PM's re-election and constitutional amendment hindered by finance ministry adjustment of scandal-related documents.

    • Political Risk
  144. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Momentum in commodity markets ebbs

    16 March 2018 Cole Hassay

    Signs continue to point to range bound commodity price outlook.

  145. Lower growth target creates possibility of reform in China

    15 March 2018 Xu Yating

    While the growth target cut was expected, it indicates that China has entered a phase of “high-quality development”.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  146. Bahraini militant support

    15 March 2018 Nazanin Soroush

    Apparent increase in Iranian material support for Bahraini militants likely intended as deterrence against Saudi escalation.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  147. Italian economy versus latest political turmoil

    09 March 2018 Raj Badiani

    Indecisive general election outcome likely to halt upward drift in Italian growth

    • Political Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  148. Weekly Pricing Pulse narrow retreat

    09 March 2018 Cole Hassay

    Volatility drives a narrow retreat in commodity prices.

  149. Djibouti legislative elections

    08 March 2018 Chris Suckling

    Djiboutian ruling party's victory in legislative elections weakens opposition and development projects face growing tax burden.

  150. Iran banking

    07 March 2018 Nazanin Soroush

    Despite FATF continuing its suspension of countermeasures, Iran likely to face increasing banking difficulties due to US/regional pressures.

    • Economic Risk
  151. Post-Brexit budget

    06 March 2018 Jan Gerhard

    Budget talks risk deepening existing fault lines despite early agreement on boosting security and defence expenditure.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  152. The ruling coalition in Ethiopia

    01 March 2018 Jordan Anderson Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Ethiopia's ruling coalition likely to remain stable after appointing consensus replacement for outgoing PM by end-March.

  153. China-Taiwan cross-strait relations

    28 February 2018 David Li

    Cross-strait military build-up heightens war-risk and increases likelihood of discrimination against Taiwan and US companies in China.

    • Political Risk
  154. Global sovereign risk snapshot Q4 2017

    28 February 2018 Jan Randolph

    Risk tolerance falls in markets as volatility returns, putting pressure on commodity prices.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  155. January GDP Index

    27 February 2018 Kathleen Navin Ben Herzon

    Monthly GDP slipped 0.1% in January.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  156. Escalating conflicts in Syria

    20 February 2018 Columb Strack

    Inter-state competition is escalating in Syria, as the attention of foreign actors has moved away from the Islamic State to their own conflicting...

  157. Weekly Pricing Pulse volatility and boom

    16 February 2018 Cole Hassay

    Risk tolerance falls in markets as volatility returns, putting pressure on commodity prices.

  158. India Naxalite update

    15 February 2018 Deepa Kumar

    Declining Naxalite militant attacks indicate lowering risk in India but promotion of military commander likely to prolong conflict.

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  159. Israel war risks

    13 February 2018 Firas Modad

    Likely Syrian miscalculation of Israeli commitment to "red lines" over Iranian expansionism raises war risks.

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  160. New Prime Minister for Democratic Republic of Congo

    12 February 2018 Jordan Anderson

    New PM probable before renewed attempts to remove presidential term limits, but policy continuity likely.

    • Political Risk
  161. Egyptian military consolidation

    09 February 2018 Jack A. Kennedy

    Egyptian President’s consolidation of authority over the military indicates falling government instability risk, but rising terrorism risk.

    • Political Risk
  162. Islamic State foreign fighters

    07 February 2018 Kit Nicholl

    Ability of foreign fighters to enter Europe undetected indicates heightened risk of multi-site mass-casualty attacks in 2018.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  163. Oman hiring freeze

    07 February 2018 Nazanin Soroush

    Oman's expatriate hiring freezes likely to be renewed and expanded as government pushes for higher local content.

    • Political Risk
  164. South Korean Olympics

    06 February 2018

    Outlook for US-North Korean confrontation

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  165. Bulgaria’s long and winding road to Eurozone accession

    06 February 2018 Petya Barzilska Dragana Ignjatovic

    While Bulgaria meets the economic conditions, institutional readiness could hinder progress.

  166. Kenya party politics

    06 February 2018 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Opposition to re-form under new leadership as Kenya's finalised cabinet reviews electricity off-take and onshore petroleum revenues.

    • Political Risk
  167. Renegotiating NAFTA

    31 January 2018 John Raines Carlos Cardenas

    The probability of the renegotiations extending through 2018 and beyond is high.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  168. FOMC Voting Index shifts to the hawkish side

    29 January 2018 Ken Matheny, Ph.D.

    According to the Macroeconomic Advisers by S&P Global FOMC Voting Index, 2018 is slightly to the hawkish side of center on the dove-to-hawk spectrum...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  169. Turkey-Cyprus-Greece marine risks

    29 January 2018 Ege Seckin Kit Nicholl

    Turkey-Greece-Cyprus dispute over Mediterranean hydrocarbons risks disruption to shipping routes and localised naval incidents in 2018.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  170. Brazil corruption

    26 January 2018 Carlos Caicedo

    Corruption conviction of left-wing former Brazilian president upheld, likely to end his presidential race.

    • Political Risk
    • Economics
  171. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for December

    26 January 2018 Kathleen Navin Ben Herzon

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.2% in December.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  172. South Africa government instability

    26 January 2018 Martin Roberts

    Ramaphosa is making moves to prematurely end President Zuma’s term...

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
    • Economics
  173. Venezuela elections

    25 January 2018 Carlos Cardenas Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    Venezuelan government's call for presidential elections to secure its grip on power unlikely to reduce government instability.

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  174. What does the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act mean for commodity prices?

    24 January 2018 Cole Hassay

    The impact on commodity prices will be eclipsed by decelerating Chinese growth, tightening monetary policy, and lower oil prices.

  175. Turkish intervention

    24 January 2018 Ege Seckin

    Turkish intervention in Syria likely to force US to choose between NATO ally, Turkey, and the YPG.

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  176. Could the global economy overheat in 2018 or 2019?

    18 January 2018 Sara L. Johnson, CBE

    Can the global economy sustain its current upward trajectory?

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Market Analysis & Forecasts
    • Economics
  177. Iran Sanctions

    18 January 2018 Nazanin Soroush

    US president’s statement on Iran sanctions waivers increases risk of snapback, undermining JCPOA’s longevity.

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
    • Economics
  178. Pakistan terrorism outlook

    17 January 2018 Asad Ali

    Declining militant attacks indicate lowering risk in Pakistan but rallies and religious minorities remain likely targets

    • Exploration & Production (E&P)
    • Political Risk
    • Economics
    • Academic/Education
  179. December Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit

    28 December 2017 Kathleen Navin Ben Herzon

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.8% in November.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  180. Chemical prices gain amid soaring demand among European manufacturers

    18 December 2017 Sam Teague

    The latest S&P Global Price & Supply Monitor signaled little-change across global commodity markets.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  181. South Africa's ANC elective conference

    15 December 2017 Martin Roberts

    Probable lack of a clear outcome to lead to further government instability

  182. Top 10 economic predictions for 2018

    14 December 2017 Nariman Behravesh

    What lies ahead for 2018 and how accurate were we in 2017?

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  183. Yemen: Risks to aviation and marine assets

    08 December 2017 Ludovico Carlino

    Growing risks to marine and aviation assets in Houthi-controlled territory as coalition-backed forces mobilise in central Yemen

  184. Global sovereign risk snapshot Q3 2017

    29 November 2017 Jan Randolph

    The global balance of all sovereign rating actions turned positive again in the third quarter of 2017 at 41 to 30.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  185. Powell confirmation process: Smooth sailing

    28 November 2017 Ken Matheny, Ph.D.

    Insights from the Powell hearings this morning

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  186. Monthly GDP Index falls 0.1% in October 2017

    28 November 2017

    According to the Monthly GDP Index, new to S&P Global customers, monthly GDP slipped 0.1% in October.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  187. A difficult tradeoff for buyers: How a NAFTA withdrawal would affect supply chains

    27 November 2017 Cole Hassay

    A US withdrawal from NAFTA could potentially impact domestic motor vehicle, electrical equipment, and machinery prices.

  188. Pricing begins to lose direction

    22 November 2017

    Insights from our monthly Price & Supply Monitor report

  189. Assessing emerging risks in Sri Lanka's fast-developing banking sector

    22 November 2017 Angus Lam

    Sri Lanka's banking sector has grown rapidly since 2013, with much of the grown centered on construction and mortgage lending.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  190. Black Friday and holiday retail sales outlook: 2017

    20 November 2017

    Retailers are axing prices earlier, online sales are ramping up, and S&P Global's Payroll Tracker is forecasting a mega payday on December 1st....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  191. The global economic expansion has staying power

    17 November 2017 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    A brief look at global growth from our Chief Economist

  192. Zimbabwe military takeover

    15 November 2017 Theo Acheampong, Ph.D.

    Zimbabwean army likely to negotiate transitional power transfer to ousted vice president following palace coup

  193. Venezuela's debt restructuring

    14 November 2017 Diego Moya-Ocampos

    Any deal with bondholders will be severely limited by Venezuela's acutely dislocated economic condition and US sanctions.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  194. New banking report for Morocco

    13 November 2017 Camille Chavrier

    S&P Global has assigned a banking risk rating for Morocco during the third quarter of 2017.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  195. Sudan's terrorism listing

    10 November 2017 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    The United States lifted economic sanctions imposed against Sudan on 6 October.

  196. Lebanese Prime Minister's resignation

    09 November 2017 Firas Modad

    Lebanese PM's resignation probably driven by Saudi Arabia, reflecting intent to intensify pressure on Hizbullah

  197. Reform progress and recovering foreign reserves boost Egypt's Sovereign Risk rating

    07 November 2017 Bryan Plamondon

    S&P Global has upgraded the sovereign risk ratings for Egypt during the third quarter of 2017.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  198. Missile attack on Saudi's King Khalid International Airport

    06 November 2017 Ludovico Carlino

    Houthi missile fired at Riyadh indicates intent to engage targets deep in Saudi Arabia, despite escalation risk

  199. Islamic State's targeting of Turkey

    03 November 2017 Ege Seckin

    Foiled Islamic State mall attack in Turkey reflects expansion of jihadist target set while capabilities remain moderate

  200. Japan post-election policy outlook

    02 November 2017

    Japan ruling coalition's snap election victory indicates policy progress, specifically on tax increase and constitutional amendment

  201. Kenya's uncertain elections

    01 November 2017 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Opposition unlikely to seek to overturn the final result or initiate an effective parliamentary boycott.

  202. A crisis is brewing for steelmakers from a shortage of graphite electrodes

    31 October 2017 John Anton

    There is an unexpected shortage of graphite electrodes, a key piece of equipment for making steel.

  203. Trick or Treat 2017: Halloween candy prices & spending

    27 October 2017

    Halloween candy prices are not looking very scary this year, and spending on candy is expected to surge like ghostbusters.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  204. China announced the members of its Politburo Standing Committee (PBSC)

    25 October 2017 Keerti Rajan

    The new PBSC line-up reflects a surprising adherence to established conventions regarding retirement age and promotion with the party.

  205. 2017 Holiday retail sales forecast

    25 October 2017

    The 2017 Holiday retail sales outlook is looking cheerful, even as online sales take a larger slice of the pie.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  206. Islamic State weakened in the Philippines

    24 October 2017 Keerti Rajan

    Militant commanders' killing in Philippines weakens organisation of Islamic State-linked groups in western Mindanao although strongholds remain...

  207. Is your city's economy resilient?

    24 October 2017 Karen Campbell

    Are you resilient? S&P Global's experience in 100 Resilient Cities Global Summit helps cities to craft an economically resilient path forward....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  208. Iraqi Kurdistan's referendum crisis

    23 October 2017 Ege Seckin

    The Iraqi government's recapture of Kirkuk undermines Kurdish independence prospects.

  209. Price alert: Are lumber prices rising too fast? Think again with the OSB in sight

    23 October 2017 Deni Koenhemsi

    Historically volatile OSB prices are once again in an upward cycle.

  210. Catalan independence moves

    20 October 2017 Laurence Allan, Ph.D.

    Despite the current political crisis, Catalonia is unlikely to secede from Spain.

  211. Commodity supply worries and demand-side positivity look somewhat overdone

    19 October 2017 Sam Teague

    Insights from our Price and Supply Monitor

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  212. Risks to Mexico tourism

    19 October 2017 Arthur Dhont

    Quintana Roo remains safer than other Mexican tourist hubs despite increasing levels of criminal violence.

  213. Iranian nuclear agreement at risk

    13 October 2017 Nazanin Soroush

    US unilateral withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action is far from certain

  214. Winners of the Lawrence R. Klein Blue Chip Forecasting Award

    13 October 2017 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Our Chief Economist, Nariman Behravesh, and the US Macro team recognized for excellence

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  215. Price alert: Tire prices to gain traction

    12 October 2017 Cole Hassay

    Tire prices are set to increase as manufacturers absorb higher raw material costs and deal with burdensome regulations.

  216. Islamic State in decline

    10 October 2017 Columb Strack

    What remains of the Islamic State’s governance project will probably cease to exist by mid-2018

    • Economics
  217. War risks on the Korean peninsula

    10 October 2017

    The intensification of incidents and increase in perceived unpredictability on both sides raise the risk of unintended escalation.

  218. Wage watch: What to expect in Houston after Harvey

    10 October 2017 Emily Crowley

    Expect wages in the Houston area to jump in the fourth quarter and continue to rise over the next twelve months.

  219. Opposition to extractive industry in Colombia

    06 October 2017 Arthur Dhont

    Rapid expansion of local referenda to bar extractive-sector activities in Colombia continues to drive legal uncertainty

  220. Buenos Aires crime risks

    05 October 2017 Carla Selman

    Robberies, theft, "motochorros" main risks in Argentine capital tourist areas; kidnapping threats higher in suburbs

  221. The "Evans Challenge" for central bankers

    03 October 2017 Ken Matheny, Ph.D.

    A close look at Charles Evan's new challenge for policymakers.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  222. Pricing in a world of risk

    29 September 2017 Alexia Ash

    Calculating accurate country risk correlations.

  223. The German manufacturing powerhouse must now contend with rising costs

    27 September 2017

    German manufacturing is on quite the run of late but one unintended consequence is rapidly rising costs.

  224. S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller yearly composites continue to climb in July

    26 September 2017 Rebecca Mitchell

    Is the pace sustainable?

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  225. Ukraine-Russia conflict

    22 September 2017 Alex Kokcharov

    Deployment of UN peacekeeping mission in Donbass unlikely in next year due to mutually exclusive Russia-Ukraine preconditions.

  226. Price alert: Wallboard prices will rise with post-hurricane construction

    20 September 2017 Deni Koenhemsi

    Post-hurricane reconstruction in the US South will lift wallboard prices in 2017.

  227. IHS Markit US GDP Tracker: 19 September update

    19 September 2017

    Real US GDP will increase at a 1.7% annual rate in the third quarter

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  228. Colombia: Prospects for ELN peace process

    19 September 2017 Arthur Dhont

    Final peace agreement with ELN insurgency unlikely before March-May 2018 elections despite four-month ceasefire agreement.

  229. How does Hurricane Harvey impact economic growth in Texas?

    14 September 2017 Karl Kuykendall

    Third quarter GDP will take a hit but recovery efforts will boost growth into 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  230. Myanmar and the Rohingya: Reputational risks

    14 September 2017 Keerti Rajan

    International condemnation drives reputational risk for Asian subsidiaries linked to Myanmar's Rakhine state but sanctions unlikely.

  231. Hurricane Irma: Not as bad as feared

    13 September 2017 Karl Kuykendall

    The short-term disruptions were massive but the state avoided a worst-case scenario

  232. Cargo risks in Chile

    13 September 2017 Carla Selman

    Supply chain risks include road cargo theft in the Santiago and Valparaíso areas, plus arson in Araucanía.

  233. US household income maintained forward momentum in 2016

    13 September 2017

    According to the 2016 Income and Poverty report, real median household income increased at a statistically significant pace for the second year...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  234. IHS Markit US GDP Tracker: 11 September update

    12 September 2017

    The US GDP tracking system forecasts 2.1% real GDP growth and 2.5% real consumption growth in the third quarter of 2017 (11 September 2017 update)....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  235. Zapad-2017: Russian sabre rattling towards eastern Europe

    08 September 2017 Alex Kokcharov

    Major border incidents unlikely but the upcoming Russia-Belarus military exercises demonstrate the extent of Russia's potential reach.

  236. Making sense of the US economy in late August

    06 September 2017

    The economic outlook seems to be pulled in multiple directions at once.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  237. US inventory investment is still running lean

    01 September 2017

    With a breakout performance by the US economy looking unlikely, business inventories have yet to rebound after a drawdown in recent years-but...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  238. US household debts make headway, but aren't yet in the danger zone

    31 August 2017

    Consumers are not in danger from overhanging debts in the way they were prior to the Great Recession.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  239. Clicks outpacing bricks: US e-commerce retail sales surged in Q2

    30 August 2017

    E-commerce retail sales take an ever-increasing share of the total retail sales pie.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  240. An early assessment of Hurricane Harvey's potential economic impacts

    30 August 2017 Karl Kuykendall

    Southeast Texas is experiencing unprecedented flooding due to Hurricane Harvey, the unwanted guest who just wouldn't leave. The economic impacts...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  241. Venezuela on the brink

    29 August 2017 Fernanda Machado

    The re-writing of the country's constitution deepens the crisis.

  242. Real GDP Tracker and the impact of Hurricane Harvey

    29 August 2017

    As of 28 August, S&P Global estimates that real US GDP will increase at an annual rate of 3.5%. The impact of Hurricane Harvey on GDP growth...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  243. Global Sovereign Risk Snapshot Q2 2017

    24 August 2017 Jan Randolph

    Global Sovereign Risk Ratings Three hotspots for downgrades in the second quarter: El Salvador, Qatar, and South Africa Long-extended European...

  244. Video: Opportunities, risks and challenges in emerging markets

    07 December 2015 Ravi Vish

    S&P Global Quarterly interviewed Ravi Vish, keynote speaker at the S&P Global Global Economics and Country Risk Conference in Washington D.C....

  245. Video: Understanding the trends in US consumption

    29 July 2015

    Interview of Chris Christopher on understanding the trends in US consumption. Interview Transcript What are the key economic factors impacting...

  246. Video: Implications of the Great Divergence

    28 July 2015 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Interview of Nariman Behravesh on implications of the "Great Divergence." Interview Transcript What is the outlook for the world's major ...

  247. Video: Understanding India's diverse subnational economic identity

    14 July 2015 Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch

    Interview of Hanna Luchnikava on understanding India's diverse subnational economic identity. Interview Transcript Why does one need to look...

  248. Video: Is Asia's free-trade paradigm at risk from slowing economic growth?

    14 July 2015 Mocuta, Simona

    Interview of Simona Mocuta on Asia's free trade paradigm. Interview Transcript Do you see evidence of anti-free trade sentiment across Southeast...

  249. Video: Headwinds in the global water industry

    14 July 2015 Ron Whitfield

    Interview of Ron Whitfield on global water industry headwinds. Interview Transcript What are the key issues in global sustainable water usage?...

  250. Political violence disruptions ahead for LAPSSET corridor

    17 May 2015 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Disruption is highly likely in southeastern Kenya, especially along the proposed Lamu port-Mombasa road network.

  251. Video: The implications of a stronger US dollar

    04 May 2015 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Interview of Nariman Behravesh on the implications of a stronger US dollar. Interview Transcript Who are the winners and losers in the appreciation...

  252. Video: Implications of China's economic slowdown

    17 April 2015 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Interview of Nariman Behravesh on the implications of China's economic slowdown. Interview Transcript What is the outlook for China's economy?...

  253. Video: US economic outlook

    02 January 2015 Doug Handler

    Through 2016, the US will be among the fastest-growing developed countries. Growth levels will be determined by productivity, use of machinery...

  254. Video: Having confidence in a volatile pricing world

    02 January 2015 KC Chang, B.com, MA, MS

    Pricing volatility can provide opportunities for procurement officers able to spot and lock in low prices on raw materials that may head higher...

  255. Video: Gauging economic change in China

    02 January 2015 Brian Jackson

    As China's economy has grown, so have its service and private sectors. It is yet unknown if economic reforms-moving to lighter, greener ...

  256. Video: Forecasting political risks to the global supply chain

    02 January 2015 David Hunt

    Imagery intelligence, vessel tracking, and social media monitoring are emerging technologies used to help forecast and assess risks to global...

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