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EQUITIES COMMENTARY Jul 05, 2025

CoreWeave: The New Star of AI Infrastructure or the Next Meme Stock?

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Matt Chessum

Director securities finance

DOWNLOAD PDF VERSION HERE

CoreWeave (CRWV) is generating significant securities lending revenues, with $311.2 million produced during H1.

In the rapidly evolving landscape of artificial intelligence infrastructure, CoreWeave Inc. (CRWV) has emerged as a standout performer in 2025, capturing the attention of both institutional and retail investors. Since its April IPO at $47, the stock has skyrocketed to over $165, marking a remarkable 250% increase in just three months. However, this meteoric rise has been accompanied by growing scepticism about the company's fundamentals and long-term sustainability.

CoreWeave has distinguished itself as the highest revenue-generating stock in the securities lending market during both Q2 and the first half of 2025. The company generated an impressive $310.6 million in Q2 and $311.2 million in H1, with the vast majority, $266.3 million, coming in June alone. This concentration of lending revenue in a single month coincides with the stock's dramatic price appreciation and suggests a significant increase in short-selling activity.

As of July 3, 2025, utilization in the securities lending market has reached 87%, tracking closely with the share price increase. This high utilization rate indicates that a substantial portion of the available shares for borrowing are already being utilized, possibly by short sellers betting against the company's valuation.

CoreWeave's business model centres on providing specialized hardware infrastructure for businesses running AI applications, a sector experiencing explosive growth as companies across industries race to implement AI solutions. The company has positioned itself as a critical enabler in this ecosystem, offering the computing power necessary for training and running sophisticated AI models. The timing of CoreWeave's public debut couldn't have been more strategic, coinciding with the peak of AI investment enthusiasm. The company has capitalized on the narrative that AI infrastructure providers represent a "picks and shovels" play in the AI gold rush, potentially more reliable investments than the AI application developers themselves.

Despite the market enthusiasm, CoreWeave's financial fundamentals tell a more complicated story. The company reported a substantial loss of $1.15 billion[1] for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024. This significant deficit raises questions about the sustainability of its business model and its path to profitability. More concerning to many analysts is CoreWeave's debt burden, reportedly approaching $8 billion[2]. While the company maintains that this debt is being strategically deployed to expand its AI infrastructure footprint, building data centres, acquiring specialized hardware, and scaling operations to meet surging demand,the magnitude of the debt relative to current revenue has become a focal point for investors.

The combination of CoreWeave's stratospheric valuation, substantial losses, and heavy debt load has created a compelling case for short sellers. These investors argue that the company's current market capitalization far outstrips its near-term earning potential, and that the infrastructure buildout may not yield the returns investors expect, especially if AI adoption faces regulatory hurdles or technological limitations. Short sellers also point to potential competition from established cloud providers like AWS, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure, all of which are rapidly expanding their own AI infrastructure offerings. These tech giants bring enormous capital resources and existing customer relationships that could challenge CoreWeave's growth trajectory.

The dramatic price volatility and intense retail investor interest have inevitably drawn comparisons to the "meme stock" phenomenon that first gained prominence with GameStop in 2021. Social media platforms have seen growing discussion of CoreWeave, with retail investors often focusing more on the stock's momentum than its fundamentals. However, unlike traditional meme stocks, CoreWeave operates in a genuinely high-growth sector with significant long-term potential. The question isn't whether AI infrastructure will be valuable, but rather whether CoreWeave specifically can justify its current valuation and successfully navigate its debt obligations while fending off well-resourced competitors.

As CoreWeave continues its volatile journey in the public markets, investors on both sides are watching key metrics closely. Bulls point to the company's growing customer base and the expanding total addressable market for AI infrastructure. Bears focus on the path to profitability, debt servicing capabilities, and increasing competition. What's certain is that CoreWeave represents a fascinating case study in how public markets are valuing companies in the AI gold rush and whether enthusiasm for the sector's potential can sustain such lofty valuations in the face of financial realities. Whether CoreWeave proves to be a foundational company in the AI era or a cautionary tale of market exuberance remains to be seen.


[1] CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) Income Statement - Yahoo Finance

[2] CoreWeave CEO explains why its $8B debt is not a red flag for investors | Invezz


S&P Global provides industry-leading data, software and technology platforms and managed services to tackle some of the most difficult challenges in financial markets. We help our customers better understand complicated markets, reduce risk, operate more efficiently and comply with financial regulation.


This article was published by S&P Global Market Intelligence and not by S&P Global Ratings, which is a separately managed division of S&P Global.

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