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Financial Services Commentary and Analysis

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We provide industry-leading data, software & technology platforms and managed services to tackle some of the most difficult challenges in financial markets. We help our customers better understand complicated markets, reduce risk, operate more efficiently and comply with financial regulation.

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  • PMI Commentary and Analysis
  • Asia Pacific Financial Services Insights
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  1. Week Ahead Economic Overview [11-15 Feb]: Eurozone GDP to show deepening recession

    08 February 2013

    The first estimate of eurozone GDP in the final three months of 2012 is expected to show the region contracting for the third successive quarter....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  2. Further signs of US upturn as exports jump 2.1% in December

    08 February 2013

    "Trade data for December paint a reassuring and encouraging picture of the US economy at the end of last year, suggesting the economy did not...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  3. Chinese export growth surges in January, inflation cools

    08 February 2013

    Strong growth of China's exports in January add to evidence that the world's second largest economy is seeing a further acceleration in the pace...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  4. Monte clears the air

    07 February 2013

    Italian bank Monte dei Paschi was the strongest performer in a day dominated by central banks and government debt.Monte dei Paschi has been plagued...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  5. Signs of UK upturn as production and exports rise in December

    07 February 2013

    "Manufacturing and trade showed signs of renewed life in December, adding to indications that the UK economy gathered momentum at the end of...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  6. German industrial sector shrinks at fastest pace since 2009

    07 February 2013

    "Manufacturing output in Germany is falling at the fastest quarterly rate since early 2009, according to official data which are now confirming...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  7. European auto sector stabilises in January

    07 February 2013

    "Having undergone the steepest downturn since the height of the financial crisis last year, January PMI data for the European automobiles industry...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  8. Event risk stalks TMT sector

    06 February 2013

    "Event risk is stalking the credit markets today, and nowhere more so than in the TMT sector.Time Warner Cable (TWC) and Cox Communications (COX)...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  9. UK PMI surveys highlight the risks of nominal GDP targeting

    06 February 2013

    "The PMI surveys signalled a return to growth of the UK private sector economy in January, and have also moved back to a level consistent with...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  10. HSBC EMI: Emerging markets growth gains momentum in January

    06 February 2013

    "The HSBC Emerging Markets Index (EMI), a monthly indicator derived from the PMI surveys, rose from 53.0 in December to 53.9 in January. That...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  11. KPN rallies on rights issue

    05 February 2013

    "Political risk drove the credit markets wider yesterday, but the focus returned today to earnings and single name event risk.Dutch telecoms...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  12. UK PMIs signal economy's return to growth in January

    05 February 2013

    "Business activity in the UK picked up at the start of the year, according to the PMI surveys, pointing to a return to growth of the UK economy...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  13. Slower US expansion acts as drag on wider global economic upturn

    05 February 2013

    "Global economic growth slowed slightly in January compared to December's nine-month high, according to purchasing managers' surveys, but remained...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  14. Eurozone downturn eases but national divergence hits record high

    05 February 2013

    "At 48.6 in January, from 47.2 in December, the Markit Eurozone PMI Composite Output Index rose to a ten-month high and came in above its earlier...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  15. Too big to fail returns

    01 February 2013

    The maxim "too big to fail" - made famous by the financial crisis and the litany of banks requiring government assistance to survive - was echoing...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  16. Week Ahead Economic Overview [4-8 Feb]: Service sector PMIs and ISM non-manufacturing

    01 February 2013

    "The week sees the publication of worldwide service sector PMI numbers for January, as well as monetary policy meetings at the ECB and Bank of..."...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  17. US: Solid growth of payrolls fails to prevent rise in jobless rate

    01 February 2013

    A solid gain in US employment provides welcome reassurance that the US economy is healthier than the surprise fall in fourth quarter GDP and...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  18. Growth of UK manufacturing production at 16-month high in January

    01 February 2013

    "UK manufacturing production continued to expand at the start of 2013, following a further increase in new orders and ongoing efforts to clear...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  19. Global manufacturing growth hits ten-month high in January

    01 February 2013

    "The global economy showed further signs of pulling out of the soft patch seen last year, with worldwide manufacturers reporting the first significant..."...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  20. Eurozone manufacturing recession eases at start of 2013

    01 February 2013

    "The downturn in the Eurozone manufacturing sector eased at the start of 2013, as rates of decline in production and new orders both slowed.Download...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  21. Lacklustre earnings fuel negative mood

    31 January 2013

    "A slew of disappointing earnings reports gave risk aversion the upper hand in Europe today.Pharmaceuticals, typically solid performers and defensive...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  22. Spreads widen on Italy woes

    30 January 2013

    Italian credits led the broader market wider on Wednesday amid disappointing earnings and ongoing concern about the banking sector.Oil services...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  23. Surprise fourth quarter economic contraction in the US

    30 January 2013

    "The US suffered a surprise economic contraction in the final quarter of last year, but this is not likely to be the start of a double-dip recession....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  24. Eurozone business sentiment rises for third month running

    30 January 2013

    An increase in business sentiment for the third month running in January provides further evidence that the Eurozone's recession is showing signs...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  25. European media widens amid LBO speculation

    29 January 2013

    "Credit has been underperforming equity in recent weeks, and the trend continued today amid LBO rumours and weakness in the banking sector. European...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  26. Transocean kicks off busy week

    28 January 2013

    The oil sector took centre stage in an otherwise quiet start to what promises to be a very busy week on both sides of the Atlantic.Oil rig operator......

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  27. Bank CDS nonplussed by LTROs

    25 January 2013

    It has now become a truism that the ECB's commitment to the irreversibility of the euro last summer and the subsequent introduction of the OMT...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  28. Week Ahead Economic Overview [28 Jan-1 Feb]: US GDP growth expected to have slowed in Q4

    25 January 2013

    The most important economic releases will come out of the US. The first estimate of US GDP in the final quarter of last year is expected to show...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  29. UK official data confirm fourth quarter economic contraction

    25 January 2013

    "The UK economy contracted more than expected in the final three months of last year according to official data, confirming earlier signs of...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  30. Germany: Business cycle upswing signalled as IFO survey rises in line with PMI

    25 January 2013

    "The IFO survey of German business conditions rose sharply in January, matching a similar rise in the flash PMI, published on Thursday. The positive...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  31. Nokia fails to impress

    24 January 2013

    Mixed economic news in Europe and disappointing corporate results in the US led to credit continuing its modest retreat this week.Apple's sales...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  32. Worldwide manufacturing upturn gains further momentum in January

    24 January 2013

    "Purchasing manager surveys indicate that the global economy has picked up further momentum at the start of 2013. Markit's flash manufacturing...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  33. Global ABS Review

    24 January 2013

    "The year started in much the same way as 2012 ended, on a very slow note. However, since mid-January the market has picked up again in terms...

    • Structured Finance
  34. Eurozone downturn eases as PMI hits ten-month high

    24 January 2013

    "The Markit Eurozone PMI Composite Output Index rose for the third consecutive month in January according to the flash estimate, up to a ten-month...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  35. Chinese Manufacturing PMI starts 2013 on two-year high

    24 January 2013

    "China's manufacturing economy grew at the fastest rate for 24 months in January. The flash manufacturing PMI for China, produced by Markit on...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  36. UK labour market shows resilience as employment climbs to record high

    23 January 2013

    "The UK labour market continued to show surprising resilience in the face of signs of renewed economic weakness in the fourth quarter, with employment..."...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  37. Italian banks dampen sentiment

    22 January 2013

    "Italian banks weighed on the broader market on Tuesday, despite a bumper Spanish bond auction and news of a fresh injection of liquidity from...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  38. UK government borrowing higher than expected as weak economic growth hits tax revenues

    22 January 2013

    "Government borrowing appears on course to be higher than planned for the current year, as austerity measures have failed to reduce government...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  39. Steel-user PMI data as a leading indicator of steel production

    22 January 2013

    "An insight into future steel production can be gleaned from surveys of how busy steel-using companies are, looking at their production, order...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  40. Spreads tighten on low volume

    21 January 2013

    It was predictable that the week would start on a quiet note given the US holiday and a blanket of snow across London. Traders reported light...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  41. China fills the growth gap

    18 January 2013

    "With the exception of China, central bank largesse may be providing ballast to the current global rally, but without growth the real economy...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  42. Week Ahead Economic Overview [21-25 Jan]: UK, South Korean GDP and worldwide Flash PMIs

    18 January 2013

    "Flash PMIs for China, the Eurozone and the US are published by Markit on Thursday, as is South Korean Q4 GDP. The UK publishes the first estimate...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  43. KPN leads single name focus

    17 January 2013

    "There was plenty of single name news to keep credit markets occupied on Thursday, filling the gap left by a lack of activity on the macro front.Dutch..."...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  44. Event risk makes a return

    16 January 2013

    Event risk has returned to the agenda this week on both sides of the Atlantic.German travel services firm TUI AG was active in the CDS market...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  45. Credit under the cosh

    15 January 2013

    Credit was under the cosh today amid weak US economic data and signs that leveraged buyouts could be set for a return.Very few European names...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  46. Eurozone concerns weigh on market

    14 January 2013

    Spreads opened wider on Monday as lower than expected eurozone industrial production figures and concerns over the proposed banking union punctured......

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  47. Bond markets show confidence in Europe

    11 January 2013

    Europe's bond markets sent out a strong signal this week that the continent's debt problems are no longer the roadblock to recovery they once...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  48. Week Ahead Economic Overview [14-18 Jan]: China GDP growth to have gained pace in Q4

    11 January 2013

    An overview of the week's economic releases.Download full article

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  49. UK industrial production suffers steepest downward trend since April 2009

    11 January 2013

    Industrial production data for November add to the likelihood of the UK economy having contracted in the final quarter of last year. There are...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  50. Spanish auction boosts market

    10 January 2013

    "A solid Spanish bond auction, a slightly more optimistic ECB and robust trade data from China all helped to offset some disappointing corporate..."...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  51. Global Manufacturing PMI as a leading indicator of commodity prices

    10 January 2013

    "Historical analysis of the JP Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI, compiled by Markit, illustrates the predictive power of the index for tracking...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  52. Emerging market growth accelerates slightly in Q4 as manufacturing sector expands

    10 January 2013

    "The final EMI report for 2012 indicated a slight acceleration in economic growth across emerging markets worldwide. That said, total activity...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  53. China's trade surplus grows in December as exports revive

    10 January 2013

    "A revival of export growth helped drive China's trade surplus sharply higher in December. The trade data signal an encouragingly strong end...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  54. Arcelor shows its 'metal'

    09 January 2013

    Steelmaker ArcelorMittal was a conspicuous outperformer in a day lacking market-moving catalysts.ArcelorMittal's spreads tightened 40bps to 335bps...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  55. UK trade deficit narrows as rising goods exports add to signs of manufacturing revival

    09 January 2013

    "An upturn in goods exports in November adds to signs that the manufacturing economy showed signs of improving in the final quarter of last year....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  56. Steep fall in German industrial production raises spectre of fourth quarter GDP slide

    09 January 2013

    Official industrial production data have moved closer into line with survey data which have indicated that the German economy contracted in the...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  57. Japan, Ireland leave markets unmoved

    08 January 2013

    Expectations of an imminent fiscal stimulus in Japan and a new bond issue from Ireland weren't enough to shake the credit markets from their...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  58. Slumping exports add to fourth quarter downturn worries in Germany

    08 January 2013

    A steep fall in exports adds to evidence that the German economy slid into contraction in the final quarter of 2012. The business surveys suggest...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  59. Output trends improve across most European sectors in December, with banks in particular returning to growth

    08 January 2013

    "Although 14 of the 22 sectors covered by detailed sector PMI data for Europe posted a reduced level of output in December, the rates of contraction...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  60. Global economy ends 2012 on nine-month high

    08 January 2013

    "Global economic growth edged up to a nine-month high in December, according to the global PMI surveys, rounding off the best quarter since the...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  61. France: Slumping exports add to fourth quarter downturn worries

    08 January 2013

    "French exports fell sharply in November, according to official data, matched by a similar steep fall in imports. Survey data suggest that a...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  62. Positive bank news drives rally

    07 January 2013

    "From tomorrow, the Markit credit team will move to producing one daily note instead of three. However, at least one thematic, deeper piece will...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  63. Credit battles to maintain momentum

    07 January 2013

    "Risk assets are struggling to maintain the hot pace set by the markets last week, with the major credit and equity indices little changed from...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  64. A new dawn for credit?

    04 January 2013

    "It's a new dawn...and I'm feeling good". Financial markets seem to be echoing Nina Simone's sentiments in what has been a very strong start...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  65. Week Ahead Economic Overview [7-11 Jan]: No change in policy expected at the BoE and ECB

    04 January 2013

    An overview of the week's economic releases.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  66. UK: Renewed weakness in December PMI surveys rounds off worst quarter for three-and-a-half years

    04 January 2013

    The UK saw a renewed bout of economic weakness at the end of 2012. The all-sector Output Index from the three PMI surveys fell below the 50.0...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  67. Slowest decline in Madrid economic output for a year-and-a-half

    04 January 2013

    "PMI survey data indicate that the economic downturn has moderated sharply in the Madrid region, providing a ray of hope while the country as...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  68. Ireland bucks Eurozone downturn as growth accelerates in the fourth quarter

    04 January 2013

    "The Irish economy continues to recover modestly, in contrast to the picture seen across much of the rest of the Eurozone. The latest official...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  69. Global economic growth at nine-month high in December

    04 January 2013

    "Global private sector output expanded at the fastest pace for nine months in December, rounding off the strongest quarter since Q1 2012. Trends...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  70. Eurozone downturn eases at the end of 2012. Germany returns to growth, but recessions continue in France, Italy and Spain

    04 January 2013

    "The Eurozone downturn eased further at the end of 2012, as rates of contraction in economic output and new business slowed. At a nine-month...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  71. US Fed dents risk appetite

    04 January 2013

    "Risk appetite had returned for the first few days of 2013, but it may be suppressed Friday morning after US sentiment took a knock yesterday.Minutes...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  72. Activity at Hotels & Restaurants in Spain falls sharply after VAT rise

    04 January 2013

    In September 2012, Spain raised both its headline rate of VAT and the reduced rate eligible on certain items to help cut the budget deficit....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  73. Nascent 2013 rally gains momentum

    03 January 2013

    After a brief pause on Thursday morning the nascent 2013 rally continued apace and spreads tightened significantly.Corporates based in the eurozone......

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  74. Europe pauses for breath

    03 January 2013

    European credit markets are consolidating their gains from the positive reaction to the fiscal cliff deal announced earlier this week.Investors...

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  75. UK manufacturing production and new orders expand in December

    02 January 2013

    "The UK manufacturing sector ended 2012 on a positive note, with levels of production and new orders rising at faster rates in December. The...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  76. Global manufacturing holds steady at end of 2012

    02 January 2013

    "The global manufacturing sector continued to stabilise in December. At 50.2, from 49.6 in November, the JPMorgan Global Manufacturing PMI -...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  77. Eurozone manufacturing ends 2012 mired in recession, as demand from domestic and export markets remains weak

    02 January 2013

    "The Eurozone manufacturing sector ended the year on a weak footing, with levels of production and new orders both contracting further in December....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  78. Cliff deal boosts risk assets

    02 January 2013

    European markets have started 2013 on an optimistic note after US legislators reached a last minute deal that averted the so-called fiscal cliff.The......

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)

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