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ECONOMICS COMMENTARY Oct 05, 2018

Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 8 October 2018

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Bernard Aw

Principal Economist, Economic Indices, IHS Markit

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Chris Williamson

Chief Business Economist, S&P Global Market Intelligence

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Rajiv Biswas

Executive Director and Asia-Pacific Chief Economist, S&P Global Market Intelligence

  • Trade data from China, Taiwan, and the Philippines
  • Other data from China include Caixin services PMI, new loans and credit, and FDI
  • Singapore sets monetary policy and releases flash Q3 GDP
  • US inflation
  • Special focus on APAC's vulnerabilities to slower Chinese economic growth

With worries over trade wars and tariffs dominating the political and economic agenda, the release of trade data from several key Asian countries in the coming week will provide important clues as to trade performance in the region, notably for China. An especially busy data calendar for China after the Golden Week also includes Caixin Services PMI plus data on credit, money supply and foreign direct investment.

The main central bank action comes from Singapore, where the monetary policy is accompanied by the advance estimate of third quarter GDP.

Other data highlights for Asia include Malaysia's industrial production numbers, South Korea's unemployment data, Japan's machinery orders and current account, Philippine and Taiwan trade data, plus India's inflation and industrial production figures. Elsewhere, UK monthly GDP data and US inflation numbers warrants close attention.

Our special focus this week looks at how trade tensions are weighing on an already-weakening rate of economic expansion in China, and the likely impact on the rest of the APAC region.

Download the article for a full diary of key economic releases.

Contact for further APAC commentary: Rajiv.Biswas@ihsmarkit.com or Bernard.Aw@ihsmarkit.com

Contact for European and US PMI commentary: Chris.Williamson@ihsmarkit.com


© 2018, IHS Markit Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part without permission is prohibited.

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This article was published by S&P Global Market Intelligence and not by S&P Global Ratings, which is a separately managed division of S&P Global.

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