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Nov 13, 2018
Peru: On the ground political and violent risk assessment
Despite political noise and adverse recent headlines our view of Peru continues to be positive in terms of economic growth potential, a friendly environment for investment, and a reduction in terrorism and civil unrest. In this 30 minute discussion we undertake point-by-point review of the current concerns around Peru, looking at areas to watch and new business opportunities.
Key discussion topics include
- Risk of political instability and of further presidential impeachment attempts
- Scope for policy paralysis with a likely exception being the Hydro Carbons law
- Mining as a continuing bright spot for Peru with support across the political spectrum
- Economic growth prospects, including the country's focus on social and transport infrastructure and on attracting mining and hydrocarbon investments
- Social advancement funds giving local communities up-front benefits from development projects: we consider the scope for a reduction in civil unrest and remaining hotspots
- Shining Path terrorism as a localised risk but focused on the VRAEM region and drug-related activities
IHS Markit Speakers
Brian Lawson, Senior Economic and Financial Consultant,
Country Risk (moderator)
Diego Moya-Ocampos, Principal Research Analyst, Country Risk
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